NYT gets it badly wrong on Germany’s energy transition

So why exactly should nuclear be the solution? Wind and solar power are available today, enjoy broad social support and are already cheaper than new nuclear capacity. (photo by nic_r, CC BY-SA 2.0)

Energy Transition

On May 1, the entire editorial board at the New York Times published an article revealing an astonishing ignorance of easily accessible facts. The NYT argues that Germany’s energy transition proves that the world needs nuclear. Craig Morris explains.

So why exactly should nuclear be the solution? Wind and solar power are available today, enjoy broad social support and are already cheaper than new nuclear capacity. (photo by nic_r, CC BY-SA 2.0)
So why exactly should nuclear be the solution? Wind and solar power are available today, enjoy broad social support and are already cheaper than new nuclear capacity. (photo by nic_r, CC BY-SA 2.0)

Did you know:

• That in May 2011, just two months after Fukushima, the Swiss Parliament reacted to public demonstrations by resolving to phase out nuclear by 2034?

• That in June 2011, Italians turned out in masses to reject nuclear power (proposed by then Minister-President Berlusconi)? It was the first referendum since 1995 that drew enough voters to constitute a quorum. Italy has no nuclear plants, and the Italian public made sure the country never will.

• That in October 2011, Belgium resolved to phase out its nuclear plants by 2025, essentially simply reaffirming a law from 2003. The Belgians now get roughly 10 percent of their electricity from wind and solar alone, almost as much as the Germans do (13%). They also added a special tax to nuclear, which energy giant GDF Suez contested in court – and lost. The country initially aimed to decommission a few of its older nuclear plants in 2015, but they were not restarted after being shut down in 2012 for a scheduled overhaul because of safety concerns.

• And then there’s Austria, which resolved in 1986 to keep a completely finished nuclear plant closed and remain nuclear-free. In April 2012, the country’s government resolved to require Austrian utilities to demonstrate by 2015 that they are also not importing any nuclear power from neighboring countries.

If you knew all that, congratulations – you are probably a regular reader of my work, all of which is available for free online. If not, don’t worry – you’re probably not paid to know such things. But as we see from the article by “the editorial board” of the New York Times entitled “The right lessons from Chernobyl,” some who are paid to know such things don’t know them either. Given the list above of how other countries reacted, you can imagine my surprise upon reading this:

Only Germany succumbed to panic after the Fukushima disaster and began to phase out all nuclear power in favor of huge investments in renewable sources like wind and sun. One consequence has been at least a temporary increase in greenhouse emissions as Germany has been forced to fire up old coal- and gas-powered plants.

The facts for power from nuclear, coal, gas, and renewables are available for free here in German. Power from natural gas is down by around a quarter from 2011 to 2013 and continued to plummet in Q1 2014; gas is the big loser in the Energiewende.

Change in Electricity Production between Q1 2013 and Q1 2014

 

Renewables grew from 2011 to 2013 in the power sector by 27.9 TWh, far outstripping the drop in nuclear of only 10.7 TWh. The remainder – 17.2 TWh – is renewables offsetting power from fossil fuel, though mainly natural gas was offset because coal is cheaper.

Coal power was up in 2013, though less coal was consumed per kilowatt-hour, and coal power is markedly down in 2014. The main reason for the uptick in coal power from 2011-2013 is foreign demand. Germany had around 33 TWh of net power exports in 2013. Take out the Netherlands and France, the two biggest importers of German electricity, and coal power production drops.

But then, pointing out that German carbon emissions are up partly because nuclear France is so reliant on German electricity is not in line with the New York Times’ call for nuclear.

There lies the problem – criticism of Germany’s energy transition is loudest among supporters of nuclear, whose main battle cry is now that we need carbon-free electricity, but renewables are not (yet) ready to do the job alone. Germany has set out to test that hypothesis, so it is crucial for nuclear supporters to prove Germany wrong. And the facts be damned.

 

Source: Energy Transition. Reproduced with permission.

Comments

26 responses to “NYT gets it badly wrong on Germany’s energy transition”

  1. Michael Mann Avatar
    Michael Mann

    And coal is the big winner! Congratulations, enjoy your brown coal ! http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/04/23/germany-to-open-six-more-coal-power-stations-in-2013/

    1. TooExpensive002 Avatar
      TooExpensive002

      Coal is not the big winner====>

      “Merkel’s Green Push Sinks German Coal Profits”

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-14/merkel-s-green-push-blows-away-german-coal-power-profits-energy.html

      1. Michael Mann Avatar
        Michael Mann

        Germany’s dash for coal continues apace. Following on the opening of two new coal power stations in 2012, six more are due to open this year, with a combined capacity of 5800MW, enough to provide 7% of Germany’s electricity needs.
        Including the plants coming on stream this year, there are 12 coal fired stations due to open by 2020. Along with the two opened last year in Neurath and Boxberg, they will be capable of supplying 19% of the country’s power. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/04/23/germany-to-open-six-more-coal-power-stations-in-2013/
        http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/22/us-coal-exports-could-get-a-boost-from-the-eu.aspx

        1. patb2009 Avatar
          patb2009

          How many coal plants also closed in that time period?
          The lifespan of a coal plant means that all things being equal there are always a few coming in.

          1. Michael Mann Avatar
            Michael Mann

            12 new coalfired power plants (40-80 year lifespan) 19% of the total electrical power.. ok I guess that is a few… depends on your point of view….

          2. Michael Mann Avatar
            Michael Mann

            I will tell my lungs that the air particulate doesn’t count because it isn’t profitable or that the power is being sold outside Germany so it shouldn’t count against their carbon footprint..Semantics don’t make me breath any easier..

          3. wideEyedPupil Avatar
            wideEyedPupil

            If you were genuinely concerned about a fast transition to non-polluting energy then you would be pleased to see the rapid uptake of renewables in Germany. They come on line vastly quicker than expensive nuclear energy, which still is problematic from many points of view not just financial (which is the main problem, it just doesn’t stack up). That’s the main reason to prefer them from your pro-nukes POV (money aside). renewables can do the job without nuclear but nuclear can’t do the job of a ten year transition to 100% clean energy without renewables in almost any country on Earth. And calling nuclear ‘clean’ or ‘renewable’ is a mangling of the English language at any rate.

            The waste risk is a big issues (spent fuel rods went sky high in the hydrogen explosion at Fukushima due to there being no place else to store them but the plant ‘attic’ immediately above the outer containment vessel). If the wind had have been blowing to Tokyo not out to sea then the entire population of Tokyo should have been evacuated.

            Both the nuclear plants and yellowcake mines use huge amounts of water (like coal). One mine in Australia alone uses as much water as our biggest capital city every year. In a hot and dry continent getting hotter and drier that’s a concern. They also leak heavy metals and radioactive isotopes into World Heritage Area National Parks periodically, although self-reporting regime means we often never know unless a someone inside the system ‘leaks’ it,

          4. Michael Mann Avatar
            Michael Mann

            You seem to be mathmatically challenged, the facts are clear, you cannot meet climate change goals without nuclear energy. Germany pays the highest price for electricity and generates more carbon per kilowatt than France. Germany has become a cautionary tale for Europe, an example of where the wrong energy policies are damaging, perhaps mortally wounding, its economy, punishing consumers and the poor while undermining the green objectives, of reduced CO2 emissions, it set out to achieve.
            http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/10577513/Germany-is-a-cautionary-tale-of-how-energy-polices-can-harm-the-economy.html http://dailycaller.com/2014/04/09/germanys-140-billion-green-energy-plan-increased-co2-emissions/

          5. wideEyedPupil Avatar
            wideEyedPupil

            Well I topped the State in numerous math competitions but oh well done over by a nukes-is-the-only-answer-to-everything troll who cites the murdoch press as facts, yet again!

            http://www.seia.org/research-resources/solar-energy-support-germany-closer-look

          6. Michael Mann Avatar
            Michael Mann

            Again you are wrong, no spent fuel rods “went sky high” anywhere, you have been misinformed or are just making stuff up. The once used fuel assemblies were pretty much undamaged (over 800 have been removed from unit 4 spent fuel pool and unless they were magically reconstituted, the condition they are in suggests very little if any damage) The alarmist anti-nuclear propaganda you insist on spreading is proven false again. The fact that the lifecycle carbon footprint of nuclear, wind, solar, geothermal and hydro are about the same per energy produced is not changed by your irrational fears.

          7. Michael Mann Avatar
            Michael Mann

            I would be pleased if it were actually having an effect on carbon and pollution, unfortunatly the net effect is dirtier air and more carbon, both of which could be remedied with nuclear energy. A myopic vision of politically correct terminology vs the reality that nuclear energy is at least as “green” as wind, hydro or solar. Ideology should not be as important as reality. http://canadianenergyissues.com/2014/05/06/concentrations-of-the-greenhouse-gas-carbon-dioxide-in-the-global-atmosphere-are-surpassing-400-parts-per-million-ppm-for-the-first-time-in-human-history-scripps-institutio/

    2. wideEyedPupil Avatar
      wideEyedPupil

      There is regulation on GHG emissions in Germany which renders your claim false. It’s a popular “common sense proves me right” meme going around the pronuker crowd like a virus but facts exist independently of nuclear boosters.

      1. Michael Mann Avatar
        Michael Mann

        So you are saying that Germany does not have new coal power plants coming online? When were they were cancelled? I guess I was uninformed, thank you for the update.
        http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/is-the-us-exporting-coal-pollution/

        1. wideEyedPupil Avatar
          wideEyedPupil

          I’ll thank you not to put your false words in my mouth Michael (a pretty tired denialist tactic I must say). Where did I even suggest what you accuse me of saying? What I can tell you is that:

          a) these new plants were planned back around 2000 before Merkel decided concede to community pressure to bring forward the phase out of nuclear power — it’s deeply unpopular in Germany and has been since the Chernobyl catastrophe. So it’s got nothing to do with phasing out the nuclear power plants faster than previously planned.

          b) these new plants are cleaner, more efficient and faster to ramp up and down to meet demand cycles (presently that ‘peaker’ role has been played exclusively by gas) than the older coal plants Germany has.

          c) for each new coal plant opening two, older, dirtier more polluting plants are closing. Output from coal is not increasing just as the graph in this article tells you.

          You would benefit from doing some reading on this site called Energy Transition. There’s a lot of self-interested BS going around about Germany’s Energiewende and you seem to be the happy recipient and transmitter of such nonsense.

          From EnergyTransitions FAQ:

          Wont the nuclear phaseout increase Germany’s carbon emissions?

          Is Germany undergoing a coal renaissance?

          Why aren’t low-carbon goals enough in themselves?

          When will renewables pay for themselves?

          Didn’t Germany overreact to Fukushima?

          Wouldn’t nuclear power be an inexpensive way to reduce carbon emissions?

          Happy reading, Michael.

      2. Michael Mann Avatar
        Michael Mann

        Please site your source, that the new coal fired plants were cancelled, thank you!

          1. John Tucker Avatar
            John Tucker

            then why are they still there?

  2. TooExpensive002 Avatar
    TooExpensive002

    Thank you for this rebuttal to the NY Times slanted article.

    The truth is that Germany is hugely successful with Renewable Energy, with almost 40% of Germany’s energy now coming from Renewable Energy.

    The U.S. is also quietly very successful using Renewable Energy; the U.S. uses twice as much Renewable Energy as nuclear energy.

    And here is how EVERY state can be powered ENTIRELY by Renewable Energy:

    http://www.thesolutionsproject.org

    Read the headlines here to see why no country should be using nuclear energy:

    http://www.enenews.com

    1. RobS Avatar
      RobS

      Somewhat of an exaggeration.
      http://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/downloads-englisch/pdf-files-englisch/data-nivc-/electricity-production-from-solar-and-wind-in-germany-2014.pdf

      2014 renewable energy production was 36% of the total, with wind and solar making up 20%.

      A much greater exaggeration for the US numbers:
      In reality, nuclear power produced 0.78 TWh of electricity in 2013, or 21% of our electrical energy. ALL renewable produced 0.48 TWh, much less than nuclear. Almost all of that was hydro – solar and wind provided only 5% of our electrical energy.
      http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/early_elecgen.cfm

      Who is this enenews and where do they get the material they post? Is it factual or also made up?

      1. Michael Mann Avatar
        Michael Mann

        They make stuff up, I have yet to see an accurate statement on enenews….

        1. John Tucker Avatar
          John Tucker

          Its incredible anyone would cite that site. It is the opposite of reliable information.

  3. RobS Avatar
    RobS

    My understanding of German energy export was that it was driven by the generation of excess off-peak energy which could not be used domestically and could not be turned off, and had to be dumped in other countries at a significant loss. Coal plants are being built to provide the base power formerly provided by nuclear power. and unavailable from solar or wind. Poland, for one, has threatened to ban the dumping of excess German electrical energy by building switches at the border,
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/15/germany-power-exports-idUSL5N0D22L720130415
    http://www.neurope.eu/article/power-exports-peak-germany

    The net loss associated with selling subsidized energy to foreign users was $20B in 2012, and is expected to rise. Meanwhile, German consumers have been told that their energy costs will go up again They now pay 3X the price paid by Americans.

  4. John Tucker Avatar
    John Tucker

    Germany’s Greenhouse gas emissions have increased for three years. Germany is using as much coal as in the 90’s. MOST of Germany’s “renewable” energy is coming from biofuels. Forest pellets. Germany has much worse air pollution than the US. Germany has some of the highest energy prices in Europe.

    Germany is the world’s TOP brown coal producer.

    Its a failure. Economically and environmentally. Stop making silly arguments that it is not.

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