The Hon. Guy Barnett MP
The Hon. Lily D’Ambrosio
The Hon. Don Harwin MLC
The Hon. Daniel van Holst Pellekaan MP
The Hon. Dr Anthony Lynham MP
Mr Shane Rattenbury MLA
23 Energy Researchers from 11 Institutions Call for Full Release of National Energy Guarantee Modelling
We, the undersigned, representing many decades of combined experience with energy markets and energy policy, are concerned that the carbon accounting and the reliability mechanisms of the NEG are poorly understood and have not received adequate review by Australia’s community of energy researchers.
The proposed National Energy Guarantee is the most significant change to the National Electricity Market since the implementation of the National Electricity Laws in 1996.
While there is much discussion in the public sphere about the adequacy of the emissions targets, we recognise that matter is not within the domain of the CoAG Energy Council.
This letter is concerned solely with the modelling of the twin mechanisms intended to address the trilemma of reduced emissions, high reliability and low energy costs.
The Energy Security Board’s Final Decision Paper refers to an ACIL Allen study which purports to validate the NEG design.
The paper provides insufficient detail on the assumptions, methodology and results of the study and indeed it is difficult to reconcile the claims with our own understanding of energy market dynamics and the Australian Energy Market Operator’s Integrated System Plan.
We call on the Ministers to request the ESB to release the ACIL Allen modelling in full, including all assumptions that have a bearing on the modelling of price effects, and to provide access to the modelling team, so that we may have the opportunity to peer review the work.
Sincerely,
Dr Martin Belusko
Senior Research Fellow Barbara Hardy Institute, University of South Australia
Dr Stephen Berry
Research Fellow, Barbara Hardy Institute, University of South Australia
Prof. John Boland
Professor of Environmental Mathematics, University of South Australia
Dr Anna Bruce
Senior Lecturer, School of PV and Renewable Energy Engineering
Research Coordinator (Engineering), Centre for Energy and Environmental Markets
University of New South Wales
Dr Roger Dargaville
Senior Lecturer, Renewable Energy, Monash University
Dr Mark Diesendorf
Honorary A/Professor, University of New South Wales
Emeritus Prof. John Foster
School of Economics, The University of Queensland
Dr Evan Franklin
Senior Lecturer, University of Tasmania
Simon Holmes à Court
Senior Advisor, Climate and Energy College, Melbourne University
Prof. Frank Jotzo
Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
Dr Scott Kelly
Research Director, Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS
Dr Ariel Liebman
Senior Lecturer, Energy Informatics, Monash University
Salim Mazouz
Research Manager, Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU
Iain MacGill
Associate Professor, School of Electrical Engineering and Communications
Joint Director (Engineering), Centre for Energy and Environmental Markets
University of New South Wales
Dylan McConnell
Researcher, Climate and Energy College, Melbourne University
Dr Franziska Mey
Senior Research Consultant at the Institute of Sustainable Futures, University of Technology Sydney
A/Prof. Bruce Mountain
Director, Victorian Energy Policy Centre, Victoria University
Alan Pears AM
Senior Industry Fellow, RMIT
A/Prof Peter Pudney
Associate Research Professor of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, University of South Australia
Prof. John Quiggin
School of Economics, The University of Queensland
Prof. Chris Riedy
Professor of Sustainability Governance, Institute for Sustainable Futures, University of Technology Sydney
Dr Hugh Saddler
Honorary A/Professor, Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU
Dr Liam Wagner
Lecturer in Economics, Griffith Business School, Griffith University
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