Electricity is cheaper than petrol, so why aren’t we driving EVs?

Electric vehicle uptake in Australia has been painfully slow, a situation that a recent report estimated could cost the economy more than $350 million over the next 20 years, not to mention the environmental cost and risks associated with energy security.

That report, published by Energy Supply Association of Australia in July, blamed the “do nothing” approach of Australian governments for this, and suggested the introduction of some basic, low-cost incentives could boost EV uptake to almost one million in just 10 years.

But according to Bede Doherty, the e-mobility services manager at BMW-owned Alphabet Fleet, a lack of government subsidies is not what is hindering EV uptake in Australia (although policy support would be helpful). Neither, for that matter, is the perceived lack of public charging infrastructure. But the lack of education is.

A key part of this education should be on cost. As you can see in the graph below, which Doherty used in his presentation at RenewEconomy’s Disruption and the Energy Industry conference in Sydney on Wednesday, the cost of electricity to move a car is less than 2c/km, well below the rising cost of petrol.

bede-doherty-alphabet-flete-17-638

The other key bit of information people should know about EVs, he says, is that “range anxiety” – that is, the fear of the EV battery running out of electric charge before reaching its destination – is only an issue with battery EVs (BEVs), or pure electric vehicles, that have no back-up fuel option. For the rest of the EV line-up – hyrbid EVs and plug-in hybrid EVs – this is “simply not an issue.”

bede-doherty-alphabet-flete-12-638

Which brings us to another myth, says Doherty: that major EV uptake would require huge investment in public charging infrastructure in cities and suburbs.

But according to Doherty – whose big boss happens to own 50 per cent of EV infrastructure company ChargePoint – “only BEVs need it, sometimes. It’s nice, but it’s not essential.” That’s because more than 90 per cent of driving per car per day in Australia amounts to well under 90km, which is less than most current EV models outer range limit.

The other problem for Australia, Doherty told the conference, was a lack of EV model diversity – probably due to the lack of demand – despite the fact that every auto manufacturer in the world has an EV model, and will soon have more.

So what can we do to boost EV uptake? Get people to engage emotionally and intellectually, Doherty says, by highlighting the opportunities.

To illustrate those opportunities, Doherty provided another chart, showing that pure EVs were cheaper than their internal combustion engine (ICE) counterparts, regardless of the range they were driven each year (the average in Australia 14,000km per vehicle).

bede-doherty-alphabet-flete-18-638

And while private buyers might still be put off by the initial purchase price, companies should be leading the way.

To help develop an understanding of the long-term savings, Doherty said, company fleets were vital to progress. “Private ownership follows company leadership,” he said.

Already, we are seeing companies in Australia turning to EVs to save money and cut emissions. Particularly large corporates dependent on fleets for their business – taxis being a prime example.

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And while Doherty doesn’t see the need for governments to fund subsidies to drive electric vehicle uptake, they could certainly lead by example – like in Norway, which has achieved 100 per cent EV penetration in its government fleets.

Comments

34 responses to “Electricity is cheaper than petrol, so why aren’t we driving EVs?”

  1. suthnsun Avatar
    suthnsun

    2c per Km? Surely a mistake? 4c is generous, more like it, depending on power cost assumption

    1. Peter Campbell Avatar
      Peter Campbell

      2c/km is about right if on a time of use tariff and charging mainly at off-peak times. 4c would be about right if charging at flat rate.
      I have been driving a home converted electric car since May 2009 and an iMiEV for the last two years.

      1. suthnsun Avatar
        suthnsun

        How many kWh per km do you average Peter?

        1. Peter Campbell Avatar
          Peter Campbell

          The iMiEV uses about 160Wh/km in practice from the battery, a bit more in summer, a bit less in winter. Round that up a bit to account for some minor losses from the wall through the charger.
          My home converted car is a bit worse, about 185Wh/km from the battery and worked out a bit over 200 Wh/km from the wall when I bothered to work it out a long time ago.
          So, under 0.2KWh/km for the iMiEV is about 2c if off-peak is about 9-11c depending on the tariff structure and less than 4c for ordinary flat rate at 17c (ACT prices)

          1. Peter Campbell Avatar
            Peter Campbell

            Oops. I meant the efficiency is better in summer than winter. The iMiEV is mainly driven by my wife so maybe she is the lead foot. I put it down to hilly Canberra, mostly driving at 80-90kph.

        2. JeffJL Avatar
          JeffJL

          I am at less than 120Wh/km with my LEAF (measured from the wall plug). Unlike Peter my efficiency is better in summer than the winter. Me thinks Peter is a lead foot. I would have the iMEV to have a better efficiency than the LEAF as it is lighter.

          1. suthnsun Avatar
            suthnsun

            Thanks Jeff, great driving! Is that mainly flat terrain? Do you have any feeling for how that would compare in hilly country?

          2. JeffJL Avatar
            JeffJL

            Some people claim that Perth has hills. I would not be surprised if it rose above 200 with some hills.

          3. Henry Avatar
            Henry

            I regularly go into the Adelaide Hills from the plains below. (BMW I3) A typical trip is 30km across the suburbs followed by 15km climbing to about 600 metres above. I reckon the hills knock 10-15% off the range for the 90km return trip (includes the regeneration going back down). Around the flat suburbs at 60 km/h I get about 0.11 kwh/km from the battery.

          4. Miles Harding Avatar
            Miles Harding

            It’s like that going up Welshpool road hill – I use 2kwh going up and get about 1kwh back coming down again. The worst place is to start fully charged at the top of the hill – the trip down is done entirely on the brakes.

    2. Bruce Avatar
      Bruce

      From my own use of a PHEV over the last 2 years I have averaged an extra 1.5 kwh consumption per day ~45c/day. In those 2 years I have traveled 43,000 km on battery & petrol. For me that equates to an average ~60 km/day. So on those numbers it has been <1c / km. I only ever used petrol when I went on trips along with a full charge of electrons. Only every used battery power on daily driving. YMMV

      1. suthnsun Avatar
        suthnsun

        Interesting Bruce, the Leaf has an EPA rating of .212 kWh per km (I just looked it up on Wikipedia). My PHEV I had assessed in early days of driving it at just over .2 kWh /km. My terrain is quite hilly and I reckon that is heavier than flat by quite a margin but I can’t assess on flat. Perhaps your average consumption has been effected by other efficiency measures. ( I know my consumption is dramatically less than it used to be even though I am charging the PHEV)

  2. trackdaze Avatar
    trackdaze

    Phevs are the greatest oportunity in australia. The real issue is battery cost, limited production for phev’s and range anxiety. Bev’s will be a hard sell until you can charge them everywhere in less than 5mins.

    Even if the daily commute is less than half the range of a current bev the psychology of ” range anxiety “is the understanding that their busy lives might mean they leave home after forgetting to plug it in. Or they have.to double back to pick up tommy from school and dump him at grannies because he’s sick, then the boss may ring and need you to….get the picture of the foundation of range anxiety?

    Next generation of phevs with genuine 100km battery only range and appropriately sized(smaller in physical size) conventional engines will change everything.

  3. Michael Dufty Avatar
    Michael Dufty

    I think cost is the only real problem at the moment. We have a $15,000 ex lease i-MiEV which is a great second car. But understandably few want to pay the $45,000 retail price. When EV’s are dominating the second vehicle market you can start worrying about range and fast charging or hybrids to allow them to be a primary vehicles as well. The $30,000 Teslas are due in a couple of years and could make a big difference, though maybe not if the australian dollar keeps going the way it is now. Maybe we’ll need to build them locally.

    1. Bruce Avatar
      Bruce

      I think Musk said $35k US so about $45k AUS for the base model in about 2 years over there, probably up to another year before it gets here.

    2. Doug Avatar
      Doug

      Our family bought a Superceeded ImIev 2 years ago at a much discounted price. WE live in the country, so no public charging (tho Knockrow has a charge point, but slow only). We have travelled ~34K Kms now. Charge off-peak: it costs about $1.50/day for 75Kms, so about 2c/Km.
      The car is cheap to maintain, & a joy to drive.
      My next primary car will probably be a PHEV. (Currently Diesel Pug). The Imiev is a keeper. (nb Shop around for insurance: our current insurer is 40% of the major player rates!)

  4. ozmq Avatar
    ozmq

    I seriously considered a Nissan Leaf a few years ago. The absolute cost
    was not a problem. It was that the cost in Australia was so much more
    than in the US, even after taking into consideration any US EV
    subsidies.

    Another case of the “Australia Tax”. And I don’t like being ripped off.

    1. JeffJL Avatar
      JeffJL

      So you bought an ICE. (sigh)

      1. ozmq Avatar
        ozmq

        Yep. I’m a sad case. But I rationalised it thus: “the real problem is coal not oil”.

        1. Peter Campbell Avatar
          Peter Campbell

          The real problem is both coal and oil.

        2. Smurf1976 Avatar
          Smurf1976

          I’d argue that oil is a far bigger problem than coal. Nobody starts a war over coal whereas oil causes plenty of misery in that regard. Coal doesn’t come from politically unstable regions and fund the actions of dictators and we don’t have a disaster if it’s spilled in the water. Both are bad for the climate, but oil causes a whole host of problems that aren’t associated with coal. Given the choice, I’d prefer renewables but if it’s a choice of coal versus oil then I’d take coal certainly.

  5. Jouni Valkonen Avatar
    Jouni Valkonen

    the real problem is that only Tesla Motors is trying to manufacture electric cars and the resources of tiny start-up are limited and Tesla can only grow about 50 % per year.

    Traditional car companies have zero interests on electric cars, because electric cars are so far removed from their core business. Traditional car companies are actually not selling cars, but rather they are selling ICE drivetrain knowhow and ICE maintenance services via dealership. Pretty much everything else is outsourced.

    Other significant source of profits is luxory cars, but this too is problematic, because electric cars are making even more sense in premium car category due to superiour driving performance and range is not an issue at all.

    Therefore, rather than investing hundreds of billions of dollars on electric drivetrain R&D, traditional car companies chose to delay electric cars as much as possible. Of course Tesla is super annoying for this delay tactic, because it demonstrates what electric cars can be. And imagine what Tesla could be with 800 billion dollar investments, if other car manufacturers would be forced to take electric cars seriously. Just few years ago, VW group alone invested 100 bilion euros on ICE cars, 10 billion on hybrids and only few million on electric cars.

  6. Peter Campbell Avatar
    Peter Campbell

    A problem with cars generally is that people buy the car that can do every single thing they can think they might ever want to do. So, if you think you might one day go fishing in the mountains or an off-road outback camping trip, you buy a huge vehicle that ends up mostly used for the city, and you might never get around to that outback trip or fishing.

    1. Barri Mundee Avatar
      Barri Mundee

      Too true Peter. We have a small IC car which is used for short trips rarely exceeding 50k or so. And we have a medium 2500cc IC sedan which is used for longer journeys of at least 150k one way. It is used for towing trailers at times also.

      I think it likely that the small IC car will be first to be replaced with and EV of some kind.

      1. Peter Campbell Avatar
        Peter Campbell

        “…I think it likely that the small IC car will be first to be replaced with and EV of some kind.”
        Exactly the point I have been making for years. Many families have two cars. One never leaves town. That one does not need to have a range of 100s of Km and could be charged at home (renewable, of course) saving a lot of petrol burning.
        As a reality check before getting an BEV town car I reset the trip meter every time I drove somewhere in town. I quickly got a feel for what range I really needed. Note that you don’t need to fully charge between trips either. An hour or two on an ordinary power point gets a useful few kWhs of top up into a battery that was not fully depleted by the last trip.

  7. Jennifer Gow Avatar
    Jennifer Gow

    Beyond the initial cost of EVs, the problem is that although I could cover at least 90% of my journeys with home charging, in my case from rooftop solar, it does not cover 100% and for that other 10% given the pathetic state of medium to long distance public transport here, there is no viable alternative to a car whereas within the 90%public transport is often a viable alternative. This means that without charging infrastructure, and currently this is more or less totally non existent in SE Queensland. This means that if we get an EV would also have to keep, register and maintain an infrequently used additional petrol vehicle to visit the extended family up to 200km away and for similar distance journeys.
    I have been unimpressed with the electric range of plug in hybrid vehicles. 30 km before the petrol cuts in really doesn’t cut it.

    1. Michael Dufty Avatar
      Michael Dufty

      30km battery range in a PHEV is actually quite useful. I think the vast majority of car journeys in Australia are under 30km, and with a PHEV it doesn’t really matter if you need to go further, it just uses some petrol on those occasions. Again I’d be very happy to have one as my long trip car, just waiting for the price to come down a little.

  8. UTM Avatar
    UTM

    I commute 100km return per day on my Vectrix scooter come rain or shine. I have to charge at work and at home (because older style batteries – newer batteries give you 150km per charge), but no problems. I pay the flat tariff to my employer for the 4kWh I use at work and the cost of off peak at home in the evening, except for free sunshine electricity on the weekend. $7.50 for 500km.

    Regenerative braking means brake pads get used for emergency braking only. Tyres are therefore only regular consumable. Servicing every 10 weeks …. Avoided!

    Registration and insurance are very cheap.

    Fun to ride. No transmission snatch or cvt torque hunt, so smooth and low noise (electric motor whine). Not a zero, but good performance and gets me to work a lot quicker than the car.

    It’s sibling Vectrix has almost 110,000 km total travel and over 70,000 km on the upgraded batteries with little degradation.

    I have owned my last ICE motorbike.

  9. Gavin O'Loughlin Avatar
    Gavin O’Loughlin

    Does using a heater in the winter significantly affect the range of an EV? It gets chilly in the south in winter.

    1. Peter Campbell Avatar
      Peter Campbell

      Yes. Space heating knocks off 20% or so. Heated seats are very good. Tiny fraction of the energy cost, almost no effect on range because the heat is applied only where it is needed.

      1. Henry Avatar
        Henry

        I agree. Some EVs use a heat exchanger for the space heating to reduce the drain on batteries. Many EVs also have the ability to warm up the car while charging at home immediately prior to a preset departure time.

  10. Miles Harding Avatar
    Miles Harding

    Not only are the running costs much lower, but every BEV drives better than than every ICE car.

    EV Drivers know what I mean.

    1. Diego Matter Avatar
      Diego Matter

      Miles, I`m all for BEVs, but there are also very nice ICE cars on the road. I don`t know if you had the possibility to drive a nice one, but it`s not helping the discussion to say only BEVs drive nicely (and I have driven BEVs).

      Concerning choice of BEVs.
      We were after a bigger family car with space in the boot. LEAF, IMEV, Volt and i3 are too small. Outlander PHEV was too expensive at $55,000. Tesla too expensive.

  11. Ian Avatar
    Ian

    Nissan Leaf purchase price 2012 model $35000, 2015 model $51000. Energy consumption 0,212KWH/km at 22c/ KWH = 4.66c/ Km. 2015 Nissan pulsar $23000 fuel consumption 7 L/100km at $ 1.40/L is 9.8c/km. Break even distance travelled is ($51000-23000) x100cents / ( 9.8 – 4.66)c/km= 544 747 km. Alrighty then , choose the $35000 Nissan leaf. Break even km is 233 thousand km. Mmm not very good. Maybe that is why the uptake in Australia of EV has been slow! What about free solar lecky and a 2012 leaf: break even is 122 thousand km , that’s still a lot of commutes.

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