Elon Musk’s ‘Westworld for cars’ has gone horribly wrong

Elon Musk , Chairman of the board of directors and CEO of Tesla Motors (former President and founder of Paypal) at a Tesla Motors press conference at the 2009 North American Auto Show. Tesla makes the Tesla Roadster which is an all-electric sports car. (Photo by James Leynse/Corbis via Getty Images)

Elon Musk , Chairman of the board of directors and CEO of Tesla Motors (former President and founder of Paypal) at a Tesla Motors press conference at the 2009 North American Auto Show. Tesla makes the Tesla Roadster which is an all-electric sports car. (Photo by James Leynse/Corbis via Getty Images)

“I’m definitely under stress,” Tesla CEO Elon Musk told CBS last week, “so if I seem like I’m not under stress then I’m gonna be clear. I’m definitely under stress.”

Days later, the billionaire entrepreneur suspended production of his signature Model 3 Tesla, which had smashed records for pre-production sales since its 2016 launch.

Yet despite telling CBS This Morning co-host Gayle King that he’s been sleeping on the factory floor in recent days — and bragging that the assembly line was like “Westworld for cars” — Musk has been unable to solve Tesla’s production woes.

In recent weeks, Musk and his electric vehicle company have been dealt multiple setbacks. Musk issued a voluntary recall of 123,000 Model S Teslas because of faulty power steering.

Also, the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is investigating last month’s fatal crash by a Model X in Mountain View, California. And just last week the NTSB removed Tesla from its involvement in the investigation.

In late March, Moody’s downgraded Tesla’s credit status, citing “the significant shortfall in the production rate of the company’s Model 3 electric vehicle.” So Model 3 woes pose an existential threat to Tesla.

A stunning half a million people paid $1,000 to reserve the vehicle after it was launched two years ago. The high demand has now led to increased stress on production.

Indeed, many analysts doubted Tesla could shift from a low-volume producer of high-end electric sports cars into a mass producer of a family vehicle. Musk himself told employees last July that ramping up output would require at least six months of “production hell.”

After all, in 2016, the company produced 80,000 cars, but Musk claimed they’d build a stunning 500,000 in 2018, which would require making more than 40,000 a month.

But the company isn’t close to meeting such a target, reporting earlier this month that in the first quarter it had produced only 34,494 vehicles. Indeed, Musk himself  then quickly announced he would personally take over Model 3 production from his senior VP of engineering.

Despite these woes, Musk still gave CBS a factory floor tour last Tuesday (aired last Friday). And while he admitted to being stressed and having production problems, he bragged that the fancy high-tech facility was “Westworld for Cars.”

Of course, Westworld is famous from both the movie and TV series as a place where things go terribly wrong with the robots — so perhaps it wasn’t the best analogy to use.

Indeed, just days later, Musk was forced to suspend production of the Model 3, an admission indicating he was simply incapable of solving the problem while the  production line was still running.

“Traditional automakers adjust bottlenecks on the fly during a launch,” as auto analyst Dave Sullivan told the L.A. Times. “This is totally out of the ordinary.”

Musk admitted in a tweet that he had made a miscalculation by putting in too many robots and too much automation. “Yes, excessive automation at Tesla was a mistake,” he tweeted. “To be precise, my mistake. Humans are underrated.”

Hopefully Musk’s statement that “Humans are underrated” will not prove an epitaph for his entire company.

Comments

18 responses to “Elon Musk’s ‘Westworld for cars’ has gone horribly wrong”

  1. George Darroch Avatar
    George Darroch

    Eh. They’re now producing at least 2500 cars per week, and if they sort out their bottlenecks (whatever those happen to be) they’ll surpass that.

    Robots are not overrated. They just can’t do everything all of the time, and until you can ensure that a role can be done quickly and reliably by a robot you’re better employing the human. I imagine that in a few years time there will be many fewer people on their factory floor, but to meet goals they’re needed now.

  2. MaxG Avatar
    MaxG

    All this doom and gloom and lob-sided reporting; why not report the full story? Why not report how production is above forecast, despite it all; why not say that the four bolts securing the power steering to the chassis, might corrode in salt/winter conditions (and only then), ‘potentially’ causing a problem. And that it is quite a good move, compared to all the other cheaters to voluntarily recall said model.
    Why is making a statement about sleeping on the shop floor (figuratively speaking, and done before, so nothing special) being construed as ‘bragging’?
    This article (actually six measly sentences) does not fit the quality of REneweconomy… and quite frankly, given its short, imprecise research/content should get it disqualified by default.

    1. eddierothmanisatool Avatar
      eddierothmanisatool

      This is very poor. This guy doesnt get auto at all. The ramp rates at Tesla are actually astounding and no ICE manufacturers could match this for new model. The comments below the article are much more useful. I would pull this article down not up to renews usual standard at all.

  3. tsport100 Avatar
    tsport100

    Negative Tesla press is tiresome!

    Never mind that Tesla rank #1 in owner satisfaction, the company has halved the cost of performance in just 5 years, the Model 3 gets a constant stream of rave reviews, they’ve increased production volumes 100% YoY and even though they’ve already surpassed Chevy Bolt production volumes by a factor of 4x, Tesla still have a 5 year order book..

  4. Wallace Avatar
    Wallace

    Come on, Joe Romm didn’t really write that hunk of misinformation, did he?

    “In an email to employees today, Tesla CEO Elon Musk explained that the reason for the Model 3 production shutdown in Fremont and Gigafactory 1 is to prepare to increase production.

    He explained that they are now aiming for a production of 6,000 units per week across all production processes and suppliers in order to achieve 5,000 units per week in June after accounting for a margin of error. …

    … Starting today at Giga and tomorrow at Fremont, we will be stopping for three to five days to do a comprehensive set of upgrades. This should set us up for Model 3 production of 3000 to 4000 per week next month.

    Another set of upgrades starting in late May should be enough to unlock production capacity of 6000 Model 3 vehicles per week by the end of June. Please note that all areas of Tesla and our suppliers will be required to demonstrate a Model 3 capacity of ~6000/week by building 850 sets of car parts in 24 hours no later than June 30th.”

    The Gigafactory is being upgraded with a new machinery developed at the Grohmann factory in Germany that Tesla recently acquired. It should allow much faster packing of the cells that Panasonic is producing.

    One of the reasons to close the Fremont factory for a few days is to rework a conveyor belt system that was overly complex and slowing production.

    6,000 per week is, I think, a new goal. I believe the M3 assembly line was designed with the expectation that it would be able to produce 5,000 cars per week. If Tesla can produce 300,000 M3s and over 100,000 MX/MS per year they will be a very profitable company. Add in storage and solar panel/tile sales. And the upcoming Model Y, semi-tractors, and Roadster II.

    Plus they are going to be able to build a car factory without have to use a Chinese partner and share their technology.

    “, the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is investigating last month’s fatal crash by a Model X in Mountain View, California. And just last week the NTSB removed Tesla from its involvement in the investigation”

    Tesla was removed from the investigation because they gave the public information about the crash before the NTSB said they could.

    1. MaxG Avatar
      MaxG

      Isn’t it sad having to note, that a reader provides more substance than the bloke who wrote the article…

      1. Wallace Avatar
        Wallace

        Romm is a very knowledgeable guy. Ph.D. in physics and for a while one of the top people at the DOE. He has a well respected blog that deals with climate change and solutions. I don’t understand why he (apparently) didn’t bother to read the most recent info which is online.

        1. MaxG Avatar
          MaxG

          Even worse; as a PhD you demonstrate your capability to research and present well-researched, objective results, that can stand trial to peers. This type of work would even give you a fail at primary school.

  5. Carl Raymond S Avatar
    Carl Raymond S

    Subsequent to this negative spin article, Musk penned a lengthy email to all staff outlining the plan to reach 5000 to 6000 cars per week on the Model 3 line by end of June. It’s a must read:
    https://electrek.co/2018/04/17/tesla-model-3-production-goal-6000-units-per-week/

    Yes, it’s a disappointment for Musk to fall back on plan B – 3 shifts and 1200 extra workers, but it’s a brute force plan with little to go wrong. Share price is already lifting after hours, which is rare, usually after hours it trades flat.

    It’s a risk removal strategy. Having reached the profitable territory of 5000/wk, the pressure eases and with level heads they can work the robots back into position, and then decide whether to continue the third shift. Tesla have other lines to man down the track – model Y, semi. The new staff would have been recruited at some point anyway.

    1. MaxG Avatar
      MaxG

      Thanks for sharing the link!

    2. Wallace Avatar
      Wallace

      My take is that Tesla was able to design an almost robotic car assembly line but some parts didn’t work well enough.

      Makes sense to take the underperforming machines out, temporarily replace them with humans, and design machines that do work while making a lot of cars and profit.

  6. handbaskets'r'us Avatar
    handbaskets’r’us

    Horribly wrong? Tesla’s doing just fine, despite no end of hysterical negative press.
    Another clickbait headline, another not-much-of-story…
    Thanks anyway.

  7. Allan Allan Avatar
    Allan Allan

    “Horribly Wrong”? I expected a lot more than click-bait and a
    ridicously uninformed article from Renew. Next time do your homework or
    pass on the sophomoric attitude.

  8. Finn Peacock Avatar

    Cognitive dissonance in full effect in the comments to this article?

    1. MaxG Avatar
      MaxG

      Meaning? Who — in your mind — is in “the state of having inconsistent thoughts”? … if I may ask.

  9. Finn Peacock Avatar

    From Elon’s email:

    “Most of the design tolerances of the Model 3 are already better than any other car in the world. Soon, they will all be better. This is not enough. We will keep going until the Model 3 build precision is a factor of ten better than any other car in the world. I am not kidding.”

    Anyone with experience of designing and manufacturing complex mechanical devices will understand how utterly ridiculous this comment is. I think the guy is sleep deprived.

    1. MaxG Avatar
      MaxG

      Could you please qualify what in your opinion is ‘ridiculous’?
      Sleep deprived, most certainly — who wouldn’t be? 🙂

  10. Coley Avatar
    Coley

    What an odd, disjointed article!?

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