EnergyAustralia says solar PV causing rapid structural change

EnergyAustralia, one of the big three utilities operating in Australia, says that rooftop solar PV and energy efficiency measures are causing “unprecedented structural change” to the national electricity market.

It says rooftop solar and energy efficiency are causing a significant fall in household energy consumption, more than offsetting any gains from population growth.

It says these factors, combined with an increase in renewable energy generation due to the Renewable Energy Target (RET), has caused wholesale electricity prices to fall. “This is likely to continue,” it says. “These factors are impacting the industry as a whole, providing difficult trading conditions for ourselves and our major competitors alike.”

The comments came as EnergyAustralia, which owns the Yallourn coal-fired generator – and recently purchased coal-fired generators in NSW and a range of gas and wind energy assets, along with a retail arm – recorded a loss of $HK45 million in the first half of 2013. That compares with earnings of HK$268 million for the same period the previous year.  Operating profits fell to HK$55 million from HK$807 million.

“The Australian energy market is facing unprecedented structural changes that are taking place at a rapid pace,” the company noted in a statement.

“In particular, the past two years have seen a pronounced decline in residential electricity demand in response to rising prices, and the deployment of rooftop solar photovoltaic systems and energy efficiency savings have more than offset any increase in demand from population growth.”

EnergyAustralia has been one of the most vocal opponents of both the RET and energy efficiency measures, because of the impact on its generation assets. It has been joined by  Origin Energy and many state-owned coal fired generators in pushing for the RET to be diluted or halted.

It said the federal government’s “hard-wired” 2020 renewable energy target (the fixed 41,000GWh target) will force increasing volumes of new renewable energy into an already oversupplied market.

“This will place greater risk to the stability of the underlying energy market, especially in the context of falling demand and rapidly rising electricity retail prices,” it writes. No doubt it will be hoping for a Coalition victory at the upcoming federal poll and the promised review of the RET – even though the last review was only completed in December.

It noted that the federal election “may also bring about changes to the country’s carbon policy.” It said it was assessing the implications of these changes to its business. Labor has proposed fast-tracking the carbon price to an ETS, while the Coalition insists it will repeal the carbon price altogether.

EnergyAustralia also complained that retail price regulation in NSW has resulted in tariffs that do not reflect the underlying costs of purchasing, transmitting and retailing electricity.

It said that apart from reduced margins caused by the falling demand from households, EnergyAustralia also suffered from problems at its Yallourn mine which disrupted output at the Yallourn power station, disputes with unions, technical difficulties with its new billing system, and higher integration costs of the retail business and Delta Western GenTrader contracts it acquired in 2011.

Overall electricity sales volumes were down 11 per cent,  primarily due to lower sales to large industrial and commercial customers and the reduced mass market usage. It says it recorded “churn” rates of 25.7 per cent in NSW – compared to the state average of more than 30 per cent.

It noted that it is looking at “how to optimise” the operation of Yallourn Power Station in light of the introduction of the carbon pricing regime in July 2012, lower energy demand and increased energy supply and capacity in the wholesale market.

Despite the problems and the losses, Richard McIndoe, the managing director of EnergyAustralia, received total remuneration of $HK15.4 million ($2.2 million) million in the six month period, with nearly two thirds of this coming from performance bonuses. He was the best paid in the last six months of all senior executives of CLP, the Hong Kong-based parent company, including group CEO Andrew Brandler.

Comments

6 responses to “EnergyAustralia says solar PV causing rapid structural change”

  1. Motorshack Avatar
    Motorshack

    Oh, Giles! Stop! You’re going to make me cry!

    Seriously.

    These guys say, in just about so many words, that they can only make a profit if their customers are forced to buy more product than they need, and only if those customers then waste a significant part of what they have bought.

    And they are evidently such idiots that they need this business model to be protected with the force of law, because otherwise they have no alternative but to go broke.

    So, exactly why is it that the rest of us are supposed to worry about this “problem”?

    That’s the part that I don’t get. Exactly how is this a problem for the rest of us?

    1. Giles Avatar
      Giles

      Well, as McIndoe is fond of telling us – the lights will go out! Curiously, no one believes him anymore

      1. Motorshack Avatar
        Motorshack

        Yeah, I can only assume they get that idea from looking at all the dim bulbs in the boardrooms where they make these plans.

  2. Michael Doherty Avatar
    Michael Doherty

    If the market is left in its current state we must admit,
    the market will be further oversupplied; wholesale market prices will decline
    further; and there will be reduced demand from price responsive, energy
    efficient, self-generating consumers.

    In this apocalyptic market what will happen? Well, it will equilibrate.

    In the process of equilibration, generators will cease to invest in any more
    coal-fired generation, and they will fully decommission already established
    coal-fired units— a process that is underway with the temporary mothballing of
    plant already. Lines businesses will have to re-evaluate their business model
    and invest fairly – and charge fairly too. We will of course be on our way to a
    decentralized energy system, with a combination of self-generating consumers,
    distributed energy, and large-scale renewables all fed by a fairly priced network
    that is far from gold-plated.

    Sound terrible? Actually, it sounds like the suite of policies, adopted under
    the Clean Energy Future package, are on
    their way to doing exactly what they are supposed to do. In case you forgot the
    memo Energy Australia, the goal of these policies is to create an even playing
    field for renewables with fossil fuels. The debt your operations no doubt owe to
    the commons is perhaps already absurd.

    So Energy Australia, this is the brave new world we live in.
    Adapt and reinvest or go broke. I start talking to the Telecoms industry about
    industry transformation and adaptation.

    1. Bob_Wallace Avatar
      Bob_Wallace

      We might want to contemplate what happened when autos replaced horses.

      Some wagon makers learned to make auto bodies. Others went out of business.

      Some livery stables started selling gas and doing car repairs. Others went out of business.

      Some people lost money. Other people adapted and made money.

  3. SM Avatar
    SM

    The regulated utility component of household and business bills is flagged years in advance and EA, Orign, AGL would have been aware of the scale of the increases and the potential customer response. Energy efficiency has been around for a while and heavily supported by government through various programs. Maybe they didn’t pick the drop in cost of solar technology or ability of the Aussie dollar to defy gravity for so long but I am sure their strategic planning would have picked the other drivers of demand and if they chose not respond other than by lobbying that was their choice.

    When business starts to complement energy efficiency initiatives with behind the meter solar as households have done the pace of change is only going to increase.

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