Renewables

Australia’s biggest wind and solar auction set for May, with focus on coal-heavy NSW

Published by

The federal government has confirmed that the biggest tender for renewables ever held in Australia – for six gigawatts of wind and solar – will be held in May and the focus will be on NSW, where more than one third of the capacity will be reserved.

The auction will be the first since federal and state ministers agreed to work together in an expanded Capacity Investment Scheme that will now see 23 GW of renewables and 9 GW of storage (36 GWh) contracted over the next four years.

The expanded CIS is now the central policy mechanism to accelerate the roll out of wind, solar and storage across Australia to try and meet the country’s 82 per cent renewable energy target for 2030.

Meeting that target requires a near doubling of current rates of large scale installation, and the launch of the expanded CIS comes as the federal Coalition vows to do all it can to stop the roll out of renewables, keep coal fired power stations open and wait for nuclear.

The biggest beneficiary of the first big CIS tender is NSW, arguably faces the biggest challenge in getting enough capacity to replace its ageing fleet of coal fired power stations, although this tender will not likely impact discussions around the timing of the Eraring coal generator.

NSW will account for at least 2.2 GW of the 6GW capacity on offer in May, while another 300 MW is reserved for South Australia, which already leads the country with a 75 per cent share of wind and solar in its grid over the last 12 months.

NSW will continue with its latest generation auction, known as Tender 4, which is seeking around 1 GW of new wind and solar capacity, and the results should be announced in June. Future generation tenders will be subsumed into the federal scheme.

It means that more than 3 GW of generation capacity will be now contracted and underwritten in NSW this year, and the bulk of that capacity will be made under the CIS scheme, meaning it will be the federal taxpayer rather than the state taxpayers, who will bear the cost.

“This is a significant win for NSW electricity consumers, with the Commonwealth supporting our biggest round of generation projects yet to deliver low-cost, reliable energy to homes and businesses,” NSW energy minister Penny Sharpe said in a statement.

​“NSW is leading the nation when it comes to delivering the energy transition. We’re already about half-way to meeting our generation target, and a quarter of the way to meeting our storage target.”

There were no comments offered on the status of the Eraring closure, currently set by owners Origin Energy for August, 2025.

Origin itself has bought a bunch of different large scale wind and solar projects but none will be built before the planned Eraring closure. There is growing expectation that at least some of the Eraring units may be kept open for another summer or two to avoid the risk of any shortfalls and reduce the risk of price spikes.

NSW will continue with its planned long duration storage tender, which will likely seek around 1 GW of new capacity with at least eight hours of storage, and which have to date featured several big battery projects and a compressed air storage facility near Broken Hill.

It is also opening up bids for access rights to the first of its planned renewable energy zones, the Central West Orana zone.

Federal energy minister Chris Bowen noted the CIS is also being extended to Western Australia, which is targeting 500MW of dispatchable power through storage for renewables in a tender that will start mid year.

A first CIS tender, seeking 600 MW of dispatchable capacity (battery storage with an average of four hours storage), was launched late last year, and that process is ongoing. It is expected that the next major tender will combine both generation and dispatchable capacity, and will draw on the lessons learned from the first offerings.

The CIS is designed to offer long-term underwriting agreements for an agreed revenue ‘floor’ and ‘ceiling’. If the market price drops below the floor, then the government tops up the funds. If the market price exceeds the ceiling, then the excess profits are returned to the government.

Bowen says a detailed market briefing outlining the process for the 6 GW generation tender will be released in early May. Tender rounds will run in the NEM approximately every six months until 2027.

“We are getting on with the job of delivering practical solutions to keep the lights on for households and businesses using the cheapest, cleanest form of power – reliable renewable energy,” Bowen said in a statement.

​“The rain doesn’t always fall, but we always have water on tap because we store it for when we need it – our energy plan does just the same thing for reliable renewables.

​“Our plan is delivering the certainty and confidence the market needs to deliver the energy we need, when we need it.

​”This is in stark contrast to the Coalition’s risky reactor plan which won’t do a thing to plug the electricity gap as 90 per cent of the existing coal fleet retires over the next ten years.”

The Clean Energy Council described the announcement as one of the “most significant” policy commitments in the nation’s history.

​“Clean energy investors are pleased to see this progress, with commencement of the process that will ultimately allow projects to secure the revenue certainty required for the enormous wave of renewable energy projects necessary for Australia,” the CEC’s chief policy and impact officer Arron Wood said in a statement.

​“While there is still so much more to do, knowing we have committed partners in government gives us confidence as we continue to face the nation-building challenges of the clean energy transition.”

​Current tenders underway:

NSW tender 4: Around 1 GW of wind and solar capacity.

CIS dispatchable tender: 600 MW of capacity (average four hours storage), with 200 MW for Victoria, 200 MW for South Australia, and 200 MW for either state depending on best offers.

CIS 6 GW tender: Around 6 GW of wind and solar capacity, with minimum 2.2GW reserved for NSW and 300 MW for Victoria.

Upcoming:

NSW LDES tender: New tender to be launched in next three months focusing on long duration storage.

CIS WA dispatchable tender: 500 MW of dispatchable renewable capacity due to be launched mid year.

Giles Parkinson

Giles Parkinson is founder and editor of Renew Economy, and of its sister sites One Step Off The Grid and the EV-focused The Driven. He is the co-host of the weekly Energy Insiders Podcast. Giles has been a journalist for more than 40 years and is a former deputy editor of the Australian Financial Review. You can find him on LinkedIn and on Twitter.

Share
Published by

Recent Posts

Bad for consumers: Regulator pings generators and batteries for multiple “rebids” in high priced events

AER says bidding behaviour of some electricity market participants - peaking plants and big batteries…

22 November 2024

Gas lobby hoorays South Australia capacity payment plan as clean energy industry fears backward step

Gas lobby hoorays the proposed South Australia capacity scheme that would include existing gas generators,…

22 November 2024

Australia’s only wind turbine tower maker to close shop, prompts Coalition to ignore its own history

News Australia's only wind turbine tower manufacturer has decided to pack it in has been…

22 November 2024

Energy Insiders Podcast: Changing the rules of the energy game

The rules of Australia's main electricity grid are constantly changing. Should they be completely rewritten?…

22 November 2024

Dealer lecturing addicts? Australia backs coal power ban but continues to sell the stuff

Australia joins UN coalition that rules out new coal power and promises to encourage others…

22 November 2024

“Wild idea:” Could zeppelins really be used to air-ship huge wind turbine parts?

Zeppelins could have an advantage over road transport for wind and solar projects. It's an…

22 November 2024