UK will install 3 times more solar than Australia in 2014

The United Kingdom – cloudy, drizzly, better-put-the-covers-on-the-pitch England – is forecast to become the largest market for solar PV in Europe in 2014.

Conservative estimates put the installation rate for the current year at around 2,500MW, which is about three times more than the average forecast (800MW) for Australia. Some industry forecasts expect more than 3,000MW to be installed in the UK in 2014.

The driving force behind the UK solar boom, according to US-based industry analysts NPD Solarbuzz, is the rapid growth of megawatt-scale, ground mounted solar PV farms, and the release of a government-mandated target of 20GW for solar installs by 2020

According to NPD Solarbuzz, around 16 megawatt-scale solar farms are under construction, and more than 120 have recently received project-planning approval. Many of them are targeting completion within the next 12 months.

solarbuzz UK solar

 

By the end of April 2014, more than 325 solar PV farms in the megawatt (MW) class were completed in the UK, with more than 60 different sites having an installed capacity in excess of 10 MW.

Australia, on the other hand, with some of the best solar resources in the world – has just one megawatt-scale ground mounted solar farm – the 10MW Geenough River facility in Western Australia, and only a handful in development.

Another project, the 20MW Royalla solar farm near Canberra, is nearing completion, and two more projects, a 13MW and a 7MW will begin later this year, while work has begun on the two AGL solar flagships projects in western NSW.

Australia’s solar PV is dominated by the rooftop market – almost exclusively residential but increasingly in the commercial rooftop market – mostly between 30kW and 100kW on small to medium businesses, farms and office buildings and retail centres. According to Australia’s leading solar analyst, SunWiz, around 71MW of rooftop solar was registered in March.

Colville says the UK has now become a multi-billion dollar solar market, and establishing a large portfolio of solar PV assets has become an attractive long-term financial proposition.

Among those with a large portfolio in the UK are Australia’s Macquarie Group, which has committed nearly $200 million to the solar leasing industry in the UK, which fund zero upfront cost solar-power installations for low-income private homeowners and social housing tenants, as well as for commercial buildings across the UK. Macquarie recently established a solar leasing business in Australia, and has also obtained an electricity retail licence.

Trina Solar, meanwhile, says it expects the UK market to double from 1.45GW in 2013 to around 3GW in 2014.

“To put this into context, this would make the UK market bigger than Germany and the largest in Europe, driving the UK one or two places up the global rankings,” Richard Rushin, UK sales director for Trina Solar, said last week.

 

Comments

5 responses to “UK will install 3 times more solar than Australia in 2014”

  1. Ronald Brakels Avatar
    Ronald Brakels

    On the bright side Australia has such excellent solar resources and enough roof space per person that rooftop solar alone could meet the country’s entire electricity demand so utility scale solar isn’t required. On the dim side, the federal and quite a few state governments appear to be doing their best to promote coal which kills Australians, and others, and oppose rooftop solar which, for the most part, doesn’t. Which is sort of the opposite of what they should be doing. I’m pretty sure I heard somewhere that governments are supposed to be involved in providing public goods, not public bads. That said, as there is no sign of any inclination to reign in electricity distribution costs by federal or state governments, we will probably continue to decrease our grid electricity use and increase our rooftop solar capacity.

  2. Thylacine Avatar
    Thylacine

    Makes Australia look foolish and confirms this government has been captured by their mates in the fossil fuel companies. What absolute dickheads we will look in a decade or so when fossil fuels are uncompetitive or better still locked up.

  3. Terry J Wall Avatar
    Terry J Wall

    Damn those lobbyists. Fortunately Australians are going gangbusters at putting in their own solar systems which is the best way that I can think of to really shove a rotating pineapple where it hurts.
    It is a most interesting fact of life that, like lust, greed has a most debilitating effect on the brain.

  4. EpaL Avatar
    EpaL

    Given the UK has roughly 3x the population of Australia, doesn’t this mean we’re both about on par with each other?

  5. Andrew Woodroffe Avatar
    Andrew Woodroffe

    Everyone bare in mind that large centralized solar plant selling at wholesale will never enjoy the same economic benefits of large numbers of small behind the meter plant saving at retail prices. Until we run out of roofspace, centralised solar farms are not the way to go, unless, perhaps co located with windfarms, sharing connection costs/opportunity.

    Wind is different to solar, as scaling up in size has serious economic benefits, faster, cleaner air higher up, blades twice as long sweep an area four times as big without costing four times as much, crane mobilisation costs for one turbine is the same as for 100, and so on.

    Behind the meter for small commercial enterprises solar systems are currently quite cost effective and this seems to be the next big thing.

    With the sunshine and load profile we have in Oz, the RET actually saves electricity customers money (CEC and Schneider Electric reports) overall. The really big opportunity for renewables is rural distribution, because that is what has driven our massive increases in retail prices of electricity.

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